Xref: utzoo rec.sport.football:11749 comp.ai.neural-nets:1165 Path: utzoo!utgpu!jarvis.csri.toronto.edu!cs.utexas.edu!mailrus!ncar!boulder!mathis From: mathis@boulder.Colorado.EDU (Don Mathis) Newsgroups: rec.sport.football,comp.ai.neural-nets Subject: Football Neural Net: Results of week 12. Message-ID: <14281@boulder.Colorado.EDU> Date: 28 Nov 89 06:15:53 GMT Sender: news@boulder.Colorado.EDU Reply-To: mathis@boulder.Colorado.EDU (Don Mathis) Organization: University of Colorado, Boulder Lines: 103 RESULTS OF THE FOOTBALL NEURAL NET: WEEK 12 |------------------| |------------------| | Week 11 Rankings | | Week 12 Rankings | |------------------| |------------------| Quality W/L Quality W/L Rank Team Value Record Rank Team Value Record ---- ---- -------- ------ ---- ---- ------ ------ #1 San Francisco 9.0 9-2 #1 Denver 10.5 10-2 #2 Cleveland 8.6 7-3-1 #2 San Francisco 9.5 10-2 #3 Denver 8.2 9-2 #3 Cleveland 6.9 7-4-1 #4 Chicago 6.7 6-5 #4 Philadelphia 4.9 8-4 #5 Cincinnati 6.6 6-5 #5 Cincinnati 4.6 6-6 #6 L.A.Rams 4.8 7-4 #6 Buffalo 4.5 8-4 #7 N.Y.Giants 4.2 9-2 #7 L.A.Rams 4.5 8-4 #8 Houston 4.0 7-4 #8 N.Y.Giants 4.4 9-3 #9 Philadelphia 3.6 7-4 #9 Chicago 3.8 6-6 #10 L.A.Raiders 3.5 5-6 #10 L.A.Raiders 3.7 6-6 #11 Buffalo 3.3 7-4 #11 Washington 2.3 6-6 #12 Minnesota 3.0 7-4 #12 Kansas City 2.3 5-6-1 #13 New Orleans 2.0 6-5 #13 Minnesota 2.1 7-5 #14 Indianapolis -0.0 5-6 #14 New Orleans 2.0 6-6 #15 Washington -0.4 5-6 #15 Houston 0.6 7-5 #16 Kansas City -0.8 4-6-1 #16 Indianapolis 0.5 6-6 #17 San Diego -1.4 4-7 #17 San Diego -1.2 4-8 #18 Green Bay -1.4 6-5 #18 Green Bay -1.6 7-5 #19 Miami -2.1 7-4 #19 Tampa Bay -3.2 5-7 #20 Tampa Bay -2.3 4-7 #20 Seattle -3.3 4-8 #21 Seattle -3.0 4-7 #21 Miami -4.2 7-5 #22 New England -5.8 4-7 #22 New England -5.3 4-8 #23 Phoenix -6.5 5-6 #23 Pittsburgh -5.4 6-6 #24 Pittsburgh -6.6 5-6 #24 Phoenix -6.1 5-7 #25 Detroit -7.8 2-9 #25 Detroit -7.1 3-9 #26 Atlanta -8.3 3-8 #26 N.Y.Jets -7.4 3-9 #27 N.Y.Jets -8.8 2-9 #27 Atlanta -9.7 3-9 #28 Dallas -12.3 1-10 #28 Dallas -12.5 1-11 HOW THE NET DID THIS WEEK: _______________________________________________________________________________ | Vegas | Net's | Net's| Game |ATS| Net's | Vegas | Pure | Vegas| Game | Spread | Spread | Bet | Score |W/L| Error | Error | W/L | W/L | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Buf/Cin | Buf 3 | Cin 3.2 | Cin | Buf17 | L | 20.2 | 20.0 | L | W | Cle/Det | Cle 6 | Cle 16.5 | Cle | Det 3 | L | 19.5 | 9.0 | L | L | Den/Sea | Den 9 | Den 11.2 | Den | Den27 | W | 15.8 | 18.0 | W | W | Hou/KC | Hou 1.5 | Hou 4.9 | Hou | KC 34 | L | 38.9 | 35.5 | L | L | Ind/SD | Ind 4 | Ind 1.4 | SD | Ind 4 | T | 2.6 | 0.0 | W | W | Rai/NE | Rai 6.5 | Rai 9.3 | Rai | Rai 3 | L | 6.3 | 3.5 | W | W | Mia/Pit | Mia 8 | Mia 4.4 | Pit | Pit20 | W | 24.4 | 28.0 | L | L | Jet/Atl | Jet 2 | Atl 0.5 | Atl | Jet20 | L | 20.5 | 18.0 | L | W | Chi/Was | Was 2 | Chi 7.1 | Chi | Was24 | L | 31.1 | 22.0 | L | W | Dal/Phi | Phi 6 | Phi 15.8 | Phi | Phi27 | W | 11.2 | 21.0 | W | W | GB/Min | Min 3 | Min 4.4 | Min | GB 1 | L | 5.4 | 4.0 | L | L | Ram/NO | NO 1 | Ram 2.9 | Ram | Ram 3 | W | 0.1 | 4.0 | W | L | Gia/SF | SF 5.5 | SF 4.8 | Gia | SF 10 | L | 5.2 | 4.5 | W | W | Pho/TB | Pho 1.5 | TB 4.2 | TB | TB 1 | W | 3.2 | 2.5 | W | L | W/L against the spread: 5-8-1 Pure W/L for the net: 7-7 Pure W/L for Vegas: 8-6 Net's avg error: 14.6 points per game Vegas avg error: 13.6 points per game Notes: 1) The net did LOUSY against the spread, AGAIN. 2) BUT it predicted nearly as well as the Vegas spread. PREDICTIONS FOR WEEK 13: Buffalo vs. Seattle => Buffalo by 7.9 Cincinnati vs. Cleveland => Cleveland by 2.2 Denver vs. L.A.Raiders => Denver by 6.8 Houston vs. Pittsburgh => Houston by 6.0 Indianapolis vs. New England => Indianapolis by 5.8 Kansas City vs. Miami => Kansas City by 6.5 N.Y.Jets vs. San Diego => San Diego by 6.2 Atlanta vs. San Francisco => San Francisco by 19.2 Chicago vs. Minnesota => Chicago by 1.6 Dallas vs. L.A.Rams => L.A.Rams by 17.1 Detroit vs. New Orleans => New Orleans by 9.1 Green Bay vs. Tampa Bay => Green Bay by 1.6 N.Y.Giants vs. Philadelphia => Philadelphia by 0.5 Phoenix vs. Washington => Washington by 8.4 Highest quality game: Denver vs. L.A.Raiders. Total quality = 14.2 Lowest quality game: N.Y.Jets vs. San Diego. Total quality = -8.6 Most evenly matched game: N.Y.Giants vs. Philadelphia. Difference in quality = 0.5 Most lopsided game: Atlanta vs. San Francisco. Difference in quality = 19.2