Path: utzoo!utgpu!news-server.csri.toronto.edu!rpi!think.com!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!wuarchive!uunet!mcsun!ukc!mucs!logitek!grep!frank From: frank@grep.co.uk (Frank Wales) Newsgroups: comp.software-eng Subject: Re: metrics and the SAT example Message-ID: <1991May24.192101.22317@grep.co.uk> Date: 24 May 91 19:21:01 GMT References: <24563@unix.SRI.COM> <1991May21.223401.27023@netcom.COM> <1991May22.222646.10571@ico.isc.com> <1991May23.014904.5896@netcom.COM> Reply-To: frank@grep.co.uk (Frank Wales) Organization: Grep Limited, LEEDS, UK Lines: 29 In article <1991May23.014904.5896@netcom.COM> jls@netcom.COM (Jim Showalter) writes: >It may seem silly, but my basic point is that if it turned out >that there was a very strong correlation between a metric that measured >the monthly rutabaga consumption of a development team and that team's >success on a project, then it is quite arguable that rutabaga consumption >is a VALID metric. It must be possible to establish credible causality too, otherwise you can't be sure what you're measuring. Say you notice that levels of ice-cream consumption correlate strongly with deaths at the beach. Does this mean ice-cream is a killer? Not if you realise that both variables have a common influence, such as sunny weather. >My father pointed out one time >that the statement "it only provides symptomatic relief" was stupid: if >the symptoms of a broken arm are pain, bone jutting from muscle, and an >inability to lift objects with the arm, then relieving those symptoms >is the same as curing the problem--so what's the objection? I take it your father wasn't a doctor, then? :-) Taking Tylenol whenever you have a headache doesn't cure your brain tumour. >Obviously, then, potato consumption is a valid metric >for violent criminal behavior... ;-) Indeed. Just like looking at local death rates makes hospitals hazardous. -- Frank Wales, Grep Limited, [frank@grep.co.uk<->uunet!grep!frank] Kirkfields Business Centre, Kirk Lane, LEEDS, UK, LS19 7LX. (+44) 532 500303