Path: utzoo!utgpu!news-server.csri.toronto.edu!bonnie.concordia.ca!uunet!kithrup!sef From: sef@kithrup.COM (Sean Eric Fagan) Newsgroups: news.software.b Subject: Re: Future of USENET Message-ID: <1991Jun28.233400.22564@kithrup.COM> Date: 28 Jun 91 23:34:00 GMT References: <21eHwfd$@cs.psu.edu> <9197@gollum.twg.com> Organization: Kithrup Enterprises, Ltd. Lines: 28 In article <9197@gollum.twg.com> david@twg.com (David S. Herron) writes: >ISDN doesn't cut it -- it's only 56Kbaud. ISDN is 64kbaud. Two 64kbaud lines and an 8kbaud line (for information and control). If and when net traffic gets that high, one of a few things will happen. The net could split up into a couple of subnets. Various sites might become more restrictive in what groups they get. Telebit might come up with a T1-capable "modem" requiring multiple ordinary phone lines, or something similar. Telecommunication speeds might move over one notch (i.e., home lines get 56kbaud or higher, businesses start to get t1, universities get connected via t3 lines, and the really desperate hook up at t11 lines 8-)). People might start getting daily newsfeeds on laserdisks 8-). >Reaching 1G/day should then >take somewhere between 3 and 10 years, depending on whether >the volume curve is really increasing. I'd say more like 5 years, as a reasonable estimate (longer if people stop posting pictures and sounds). And that should be enough time for technology to do something. -- Sean Eric Fagan | "What *does* that 33 do? I have no idea." sef@kithrup.COM | -- Chris Torek -----------------+ (torek@ee.lbl.gov) Any opinions expressed are my own, and generally unpopular with others.