Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Path: utzoo!linus!decvax!tektronix!uw-beaver!cornell!vax135!ariel!houti!hogpc!houxm!ihnp4!ixn5c!inuxc!pur-ee!ecn-ec:ecn-pc:ecn-ed:vu From: ecn-ec:ecn-pc:ecn-ed:vu@pur-ee.UUCP Newsgroups: net.math Subject: A statistics paradox Message-ID: <205@ecn-ed.UUCP> Date: Fri, 16-Sep-83 14:32:17 EDT Article-I.D.: ecn-ed.205 Posted: Fri Sep 16 14:32:17 1983 Date-Received: Sat, 17-Sep-83 17:45:59 EDT Lines: 10 Let p = .5 be the probability that a phenomenum will happen to an item. Thus the probability that it won't happen is 1-p = .5 So with a population of 2, the probability that the phenomenum happens to at least one of the items will be p+p = 1 , while the probability that the phenomenum will not happen to either is (1-p)(1-p) = .25 hence making a total of 1.25 ?!?! Where did I go wrong ? Hao-Nhien Vu (pur-ee!norris)