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From: dvk@mi-cec.UUCP (Dan Klein)
Newsgroups: net.math
Subject: Re: Let's Make a Deal
Message-ID: <169@mi-cec.UUCP>
Date: Fri, 7-Oct-83 10:49:56 EDT
Article-I.D.: mi-cec.169
Posted: Fri Oct  7 10:49:56 1983
Date-Received: Sun, 9-Oct-83 06:35:11 EDT
Lines: 15

1) Laura - Monty Hall was the moderator/huckster of a popular U.S. TV
   show called (you guessed it) "Let's Make a Deal", wherein housewives
   and sometimes their hubbies dressed in riduculous outfits (a giant
   tomato, for example), and got to be ridiculed on TV while they jumped
   up and down in an apoplectic moronic ecstasy for the chance to "win"
   fabulous prizes.  (Just what I *need*! A Sheep!)  The "big event" was
   the "Door #1, door#2, or door #3 (or the box that Carol Merrill is
   standing in front of...).

2) At the instigation of another netter, I ran a simulation of the problem.
   Believe it or not, Ripley, it pays to always change.  Follow whos ever
   argument you please.  The probability of winning if you *always* change
   is 2/3.  If you never change it is 1/3.  Try it.  I was amazed, too.

	-Dan Klein, Mellon Institute, Pittsburgh