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Path: utzoo!linus!security!genrad!grkermit!masscomp!clyde!floyd!harpo!seismo!flinn
From: flinn@seismo.UUCP (E. A. Flinn)
Newsgroups: net.games.rogue
Subject: Re: Probability of hit points in rogue
Message-ID: <450@seismo.UUCP>
Date: Thu, 8-Dec-83 23:11:10 EST
Article-I.D.: seismo.450
Posted: Thu Dec  8 23:11:10 1983
Date-Received: Sat, 10-Dec-83 22:12:53 EST
Organization: Center for Seismic Studies, Arlington, VA
Lines: 15

I got a note asking what all those numbers mean in a message I sent
earlier today to net.games.rogue; it was a follow-up to an earlier
submission, the first part of which I'd better repeat to clarify
things.

One of the rogue gurus (gurues?) maintains that if you don't have at
least 40 hit points by experience level 5 it's best just to quit.  All
I did was calculate the probabilities that you would have at least 
16, 17,...52 hit points at level 5, starting from the 12 you have at
level 1 and anyplace in between, which I thought might be of interest
to other rogue players.

The first submission attempted to do the same calculation, but was
wrong.