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Path: utzoo!utcsrgv!perelgut
From: perelgut@utcsrgv.UUCP (Stephen Perelgut)
Newsgroups: net.micro
Subject: Who's Next?
Message-ID: <2994@utcsrgv.UUCP>
Date: Sat, 24-Dec-83 13:29:08 EST
Article-I.D.: utcsrgv.2994
Posted: Sat Dec 24 13:29:08 1983
Date-Received: Sat, 24-Dec-83 14:40:27 EST
Organization: CSRG, University of Toronto
Lines: 27

[]

Facts to Establish the Topic:
    During the first phase of computers entering the homes of "the great
unwashed" the operating system of choice was UCSD-Pascal.  During the
height of UCSD Pascal this new upstart came along and, by the end of the
70's, CP/M swept micros.  Currently CP/M is on the way out and the new,
trendy OS is MS-DOS (PC-DOS, etc.).  And, as MS-DOS peaks, there is a
movement afoot to get Unix up on the micros.

Aside:
    I expect that there will be a number of people reading this who will
refuse to accept the above as facts.  All I can recommend is that you
go read back issues of computing magazines.  BYTE, for all its flaws,
(and amid all its ads), seems to feature the fad OS early in its rise
to stardom.  You could try looking there.

Topic:
    How many people have noticed the same trend and what, if anything, will
replace Unix.  If things move at a similar speed, MS-DOS will peak in 1984-5
and Unix in 1987.  The successor to Unix should therefore exist now and
should become recognizable as the heir apparent sometime in the next two 
years.  Anyone wanna go on record now with predictions?  Or wanna go on
record against believing in this trend?  
-- 
Stephen Perelgut    Computer Systems Research Group    University of Toronto
	    Usenet:	{linus, ihnp4, allegra, decvax, floyd}!utcsrgv!perelgut