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From: leff@smu.UUCP
Newsgroups: net.women
Subject: Re: Will 15% of all women really be assa - (nf)
Message-ID: <18900007@smu.UUCP>
Date: Fri, 24-Aug-84 18:18:00 EDT
Article-I.D.: smu.18900007
Posted: Fri Aug 24 18:18:00 1984
Date-Received: Wed, 29-Aug-84 05:24:47 EDT
References: <887@trwrba.UUCP>
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Nf-ID: #R:trwrba:-88700:smu:18900007:000:491
Nf-From: smu!leff    Aug 24 17:18:00 1984

#R:trwrba:-88700:smu:18900007:000:491
smu!leff    Aug 24 17:18:00 1984

The figure is not unreasonable (at least for women in big cities).

IN Dallas there are 700 rapes / year (reported).  There are 500,000 women.
Population divided by two.  Performing the indicated operations that means
7 per cent of all women will be raped.  (Assuming there is a 50 year
window).

  700 rapes
  --------- * --------------- * 50 year = .07
   year        500,000 women

If one takes estimates that 1 in 4 to 1 in 6 rapes are actually reported,
a 1 in 3 figure is reasonable.