Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Posting-Version: version B 2.10.2 9/5/84; site qantel.UUCP Path: utzoo!linus!decvax!decwrl!amd!dual!qantel!gabor From: gabor@qantel.UUCP (Gabor Fencsik@ex2642) Newsgroups: net.politics Subject: Re: Deja vu in the Philippines Message-ID: <270@qantel.UUCP> Date: Mon, 29-Oct-84 22:48:34 EST Article-I.D.: qantel.270 Posted: Mon Oct 29 22:48:34 1984 Date-Received: Thu, 1-Nov-84 04:07:40 EST References: <798@flairvax.UUCP> Organization: MDS Qantel, Hayward, CA Lines: 18 [] Philippines exploding? Revolution inevitable? Maybe yes and maybe no. Along with Iran and Nicaragua, there is another pattern of events just as spectacular. Greece, Portugal, Spain and Argentina were run by repressive military regimes enjoying U.S. support. They are now democracies enjoying U.S. support. These changes happened in just one decade with almost zero violence. Brazil is moving in the same direction. Aside from the Helms-Buckley-Kirkpatrick wing, I don't think the U.S has shown a marked preference for repressive regimes as such. The foreign policy establishment has a genuine aversion to risk and upheaval. It will therefore support the status quo, whatever it is, even if a change is clearly in our national interest. A good illustration: even the collapse of OPEC is not, apparently, considered desirable in some foreign policy circles. It would be 'destabilizing', you see.