Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!burl!ulysses!mhuxj!houxm!hogpc!hogpd!jrrt From: jrrt@hogpd.UUCP (R.MITCHELL) Newsgroups: net.politics Subject: The WSJ on Reaganomics Message-ID: <421@hogpd.UUCP> Date: Thu, 8-Nov-84 09:41:36 EST Article-I.D.: hogpd.421 Posted: Thu Nov 8 09:41:36 1984 Date-Received: Sat, 10-Nov-84 07:32:28 EST Lines: 53 In view of the recent allegation that Reaganomics is now considered a joke by anyone in the know, I offer the following excerpt from a 11/6/84 WALL STREET JOURNAL editorial. Draw your own conclusions -- I make no claims either way so flames at me will be ignored. **************************************************************** ALL SUPPLY-SIDERS NOW From an educational standpoint, it's too bad the Reagan recovery foreclosed any real economic debate in this campaign. For the intellectual joust would have revealed a truly remarkable shift in thinking since Arthur Laffer first drew his curve on a restaurant napkin to illustrate that at some point higher tax rates actually collect less revenue. ...In the backwaters of the Charles River, to be sure, you can find those who dismiss the Reagan recovery as a "Keynesian" response to deficits, as if it would have worked as well to have boosted spending instead of cutting taxes. Yet according to the OECD, deficits and government spending in Europe have been running even higher than in the U.S. The recovery did not take place there; it took place here, following the first net tax cuts in 1983. A careful reader can find supply-side economics, and even the Laffer Curve, spreading through the popular press. "With tax rates reduced, the supply-siders say, the rich will move away from tax shelters and channel more money into conventional investments," writes Time magazine. It notes that, following the reduction in the top marginal rate to 50% from 70%, "the percentage of income tax collected from taxpayers earning $50,000 or more rose from 32.9% to 35.4%. At the same time, the share paid by those making $20,000 or less fell from 17.1% to 15.5%." Time concluded that, true to supply-side claims, "the share of taxes paid by the richest Americans is on the rise." "Ever since George Bush labeled Ronald Reagan's proposals for massive tax cuts 'voodoo economics,' Reaganomics has been widely classified as ...a lunatic fringe" writes Newsweek. "Now, economists of many stripes are factoring in a new variable: the key supply-side tenet that a steadily growing economy coupled with spending restraint may be able to erase much of the budget deficit without tax increases. In short, the supply-siders may be right." It adds that "the strongest argument supply-siders have is the economy's performance. Defying conventional wisdom, it has achieved sustained expansion" without renewed inflation. And "budget deficits have come down." ...the [post-election] debate will not be over whether there is a Laffer Curve, but over its precise shape. Even while many of the debaters continue to ridicule Arthur Laffer, they will be arguing over which tax rate will maximize revenues. A look over the shoulder at Mr. Mondale will show how far the idea has come, how widely the reality of supply-side incentives is now accepted. Politically, it is Republicans and Democrats who have learned this lesson who are likely to do well in today's returns. And intellectually, it will be the same people who set the economic agenda for the future. **************************************************************** Excerpted without permission. The usual disclaimers apply. Rob Mitchell {allegra,ihnp4}!hogpd!jrrt Money's not my life, just my living. - Gay Johnson