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Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!cbosgd!ihnp4!mgnetp!mgweed!rjr
From: rjr@mgweed.UUCP (Bob Roehrig)
Newsgroups: net.ham-radio
Subject: arrl propagation forecast bulletin nr 48
Message-ID: <13818@mgweed.UUCP>
Date: Mon, 26-Nov-84 20:45:17 EST
Article-I.D.: mgweed.13818
Posted: Mon Nov 26 20:45:17 1984
Date-Received: Tue, 27-Nov-84 04:43:30 EST
Organization: AT&T Consumer Products - Montgomery Illinois
Lines: 29


qst de k9eui
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 48   from arrl headquarters
newington ct  november 26, 1984
to all radio amateurs  bt

after ten weeks at close to quiet sun levels,  the  solar  flux
started upward november 17.  from 72 it rose to 85 by the 25th,
and may continue upward another day or two.  this rise came  as
geomagnetic activity was declining, making for some of the best
propagation 0f the autumn  dx  season.   improvement  was  most
marked  on  21  mhz.   on 28 mhz, there was some propagation to
africa from eastern usa, and north south conditions were good.

geomagnetic activity will be rising after about the  27th,  and
propagation will be more variable through about december tenth.
the major geomagnetic disturbance of mid november  will  recur,
probably at lower levels about december 13 to 15.

it is too early to tell if the new  solar  activity  in  recent
days  is  more  than a brief event.  it could signal a critical
period in which predictions based on the rotational  period  of
the  sun  become  unreliable.  more on this later in subsequent
bulletins.

the updated table of ten meter  beacon  stations  announced  in
bulletin  number  46  is  still  available.  send an sase to ed
tilton, w1hdq, po box 137, canton, ct  06019  ar