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From: jdb@qubix.UUCP (Jeff Bulf)
Newsgroups: net.politics
Subject: Re: Those crates
Message-ID: <1542@qubix.UUCP>
Date: Wed, 14-Nov-84 16:34:22 EST
Article-I.D.: qubix.1542
Posted: Wed Nov 14 16:34:22 1984
Date-Received: Sat, 17-Nov-84 02:12:47 EST
References: <20300001@hpfcla.UUCP> <331@whuxl.UUCP> <332@whuxl.UUCP> <201@ut-sally.UUCP> <342@whuxl.UUCP>
Organization: Qubix Graphic Systems, San Jose, CA
Lines: 31

> Well, the Reagan administration just admitted that there were not MIG 21's
> on the Burkiana.  But that won't matter because the charge has served its
> purpose-to put people into a warlike mood against Nicaragua.
>
>                                                    Now the next step is
> some contrived incident in the Gulf of Fonseca so that Reagan can have his
> own "Gulf of Tonkin resolution" to legitimate war in Central America.

    The San Jose Mercury reported, the same day President Reagan accused
Nicaragua of importing MIGs, that the administration was beginning (much
more quietly) to ship high- performance combat aircraft to the new US
bases in Honduras. Perhaps the MIG story was a cover for this, as well
as a pre-pretext to invade.

    In mid-december, when the rainy season in Nicaragua ends, there will be
a "window of vulnerability":

    As the skies clear, air power becomes more advantagous.
	(Nicaragua has no significant air force.)

    As the ground dries, the coastal plain becomes more vulnerable
	to tank invasion, as does and the broad straight valley
	from the Gulf of Fonseca to Managua.

    The US Congress will not be in session for several more weeks.
	(They re-convene Jan 7.) ie no checks or balances operating.

Any bets on when an "incident" takes place?
-- 
	Dr Memory
	...{amd,ucbvax,ihnp4}!qubix!jdb