Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Posting-Version: version B 2.10.2 9/18/84; site dciem.UUCP Path: utzoo!dciem!mmt From: mmt@dciem.UUCP (Martin Taylor) Newsgroups: net.politics.theory Subject: Re: The gold standard. Message-ID: <1418@dciem.UUCP> Date: Sat, 23-Feb-85 21:41:47 EST Article-I.D.: dciem.1418 Posted: Sat Feb 23 21:41:47 1985 Date-Received: Sat, 23-Feb-85 22:18:55 EST References: <613@ukma.UUCP> <> <1600@bmcg.UUCP> <237@tilt.FUN> Reply-To: mmt@dciem.UUCP (Martin Taylor) Organization: D.C.I.E.M., Toronto, Canada Lines: 21 Summary: >A "supply shock" causes the price of one particular commodity to rise; >however it is not inflation (overexpansion of the money supply). The >ill effects of inflation are primarily due to the economic miscalculation >induced by false cost signals generated, whereas the higher prices of >a given item when it is in short supply are exactly the accurate >information the price system is supposed to supply. > >--JoSH For once, JoSH is unwittingly right. Uncertainty IS the main cause of inflation, and the "false cost signals" augment that uncertainty. Over a 2000-year history, inflation has averaged around 4%, which may be some kind of optimum. Prices cannot supply accurate information when they are changing, simply because the information does not apply to the present. Whether inflation IS the "overexpansion of the money supply" or whether that is a result of inflation is not relevant. -- Martin Taylor {allegra,linus,ihnp4,floyd,ubc-vision}!utzoo!dciem!mmt {uw-beaver,qucis,watmath}!utcsri!dciem!mmt