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From: cooper@pbsvax.DEC (Topher Cooper HLO2-3/M08 DTN225-5819)
Newsgroups: net.physics
Subject: Extreme tail probability.
Message-ID: <3419@decwrl.UUCP>
Date: Fri, 2-Aug-85 20:48:39 EDT
Article-I.D.: decwrl.3419
Posted: Fri Aug  2 20:48:39 1985
Date-Received: Sun, 4-Aug-85 06:20:55 EDT
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Organization: Digital Equipment Corporation
Lines: 19

>From:  king@Kestrel (Dick King)
>
>Using the bionomial distribution, we see that the mean number of
>molecules in each half is 500000, and the standard deviation is 1000,
>so the portion of the distribution curve (of the possible numbers of
>molecules in my half) that leads to my survival spans the center 200
>standard deviations, allowing me to survive
>99.999999999999999999999999999999999999...% of the time.  (my tables
>don't go that far.)

For what it's worth (not much) the probability is approximately:

		1.0 - (2.688*10^-2174)


	Topher Cooper

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