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From: rjr@mgweed.UUCP (Bob Roehrig)
Newsgroups: net.ham-radio
Subject: arrl propagation forecast bulletin nr 47
Message-ID: <21980@mgweed.UUCP>
Date: Tue, 26-Nov-85 23:28:00 EST
Article-I.D.: mgweed.21980
Posted: Tue Nov 26 23:28:00 1985
Date-Received: Thu, 28-Nov-85 03:33:50 EST
Organization: AT&T Information Systems - Montgomery Illinois
Lines: 31


qst de k9eui
hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 47  from arrl headquarters
newington ct  november 25, 1985
to all radio amateurs bt

as predicted last week, propagation was about  as  good  as  we
will  see  in  the next two years or so, especially as to dx on
21, 24 and 28 mhz.  though the solar flux dropped steadily from
a  high  of  86  on  november 15 to 74 on the 24th, geomagnetic
activity was below average, making for strong,  steady  signals
on  all  dx  frequencies.  activity on 28 mhz was mainly in the
lower latitudes and on transequatorial paths, but 21 mhz was in
fine  shape.   this  band  was very good to japan and the south
pacific from the writers florida gulf coast  site  november  23
and 24.

another good break is likely november 26 and 27, followed by  a
generally  poor  spell  from  about  the  29th  to  december 2.
predicting the solar flux range for the latter period is  risky
indeed.   the  best  guess  is  that  the  decline  underway at
bulletin time will bring flux values in the high 60s  by  about
december 1.  some upward movement is expected after december 2,
but not as much as (garbled) half of november.

users of 28 and 50  mhz  will  find  some  interesting  e  skip
activity  during december and early january.  this is the major
e skip season in the southern hemisphere.  we will  catch  some
too,  but nothing to equal what we experienced during our early
summer  ar