Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Posting-Version: version B 2.10.1 6/24/83; site kovacs.UUCP Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!burl!ulysses!mhuxr!mhuxn!ihnp4!qantel!lll-crg!seismo!harvard!talcott!panda!genrad!decvax!ittatc!dcdwest!sdcsvax!sdcrdcf!randvax!kovacs!rivero From: rivero@kovacs.UUCP (Michael Foster Rivero) Newsgroups: net.space Subject: Re: spinoffs Message-ID: <275@kovacs.UUCP> Date: Fri, 22-Nov-85 11:23:03 EST Article-I.D.: kovacs.275 Posted: Fri Nov 22 11:23:03 1985 Date-Received: Thu, 28-Nov-85 04:26:34 EST References: <8511191259.AA24626@decwrl.DEC.COM> Reply-To: rivero@kovacs.UUCP (Michael Foster Rivero) Organization: Robt Abel & Assoc, Hollywood Lines: 70 In article <8511191259.AA24626@decwrl.DEC.COM> redford@JEREMY.DEC (John Redford) writes: > >The commercial value of spinoffs is negligible. > >P.S. Well OK, there is one important exception to the above, and that >is communication satellites. These were launched on modified ICBM's, >and so would not have been possible without the missile program. The >entire comsat industry is worth one or two billion a year. That's >certainly not trivial, but it's not large either; beer and cosmetics >are of similar size. > >Posted: Tue 19-Nov-1985 14:56 Jerusalem Local Time (GMT+2) >To: RHEA::DECWRL::"space@mc" As Carl Sagen points out, Americans spend more on Pizza than on the Space Program. Admittedly, there is little DIRECT commercial return from the Space Program. Hopefully, the commercialization of space will change that over the next decade. The returns from Space research are exactly that. RESEARCH! There is a lot of research done on behalf of space that finds its way into industrial applications. In our company, we have several ex-space employees. A lot of the techniques and algorithms we use were learned during the "good old days" at NASA. There is also the return of pure knowledge, not to mention National image. Let's face it. The desire for knowledge did not get us to the moon. The desire to retake the lead in space from the Russians got the bucks for the Buck Rogers. As for SDI, there is one clear spinoff from the project. The need to hoist a lot of equipment into space will help drive the cost of delivery down. Just as the air war in WW2 helped set the technical stage for cheap passenger airlines (by underwriting a lot of the nuts and bolts technology), SDI's needs will help set the stage for cheap space travel. Example: Space Shuttles are very expensive, one-at-a-time vehicles built on a prototype basis. If the SDI were to decide it needed a lot of shuttles, then an assembly line would be funded, and the cost of the individual shuttles would drop to a point where private companies could afford them, especially at post-SDI-deployment surplus rates! Remember how many early airlines started with war-surplus aircraft? As an aside, if the external shuttle tanks were re-designed to ride all the way to orbit, they might make great pressurized bulk storage units that could be attached to a space station framework. You could vent the remaining propellants to vacuum, seal and pressurize the tank with an added airlock, and have an instant office space. With shuttles going up on a once a month basis during SDI, you would have a LOT of pressurized space at the end of every year. The point is, once we are fully in space, it can be made economical. It is the initial investment in getting there that is the "killer" and projects like SDI, whether politically valid or not (and the jury is still out on that one) are the most source of that investment. Michael Rivero