Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Posting-Version: version B 2.10.2 (Tek) 9/28/84 based on 9/17/84; site tekigm2.UUCP Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!burl!ulysses!mhuxr!mhuxt!houxm!vax135!cornell!uw-beaver!tektronix!tekigm2!wrd From: wrd@tekigm2.UUCP (Bill Dippert) Newsgroups: net.games.board,net.math Subject: Dice "Odds" Message-ID: <309@tekigm2.UUCP> Date: Thu, 12-Dec-85 14:14:09 EST Article-I.D.: tekigm2.309 Posted: Thu Dec 12 14:14:09 1985 Date-Received: Fri, 13-Dec-85 20:47:46 EST Distribution: net Organization: Tektronix, Beaverton OR Lines: 48 Xref: watmath net.games.board:156 net.math:2618 Given that you use two dice in a game and that you are trying to figure the odds of getting a particular combination: do you use the combinations or the permutations to determine the odds? Permutations Combinations Number Ways Number Ways 2 1 2 1 3 2 3 1 4 3 4 2 5 4 5 2 6 5 6 3 7 6 7 3 8 5 8 3 9 4 9 2 10 3 10 2 11 2 11 1 12 1 12 1 --- --- 36 21 What we are trying to determine is in the game of Railbaron, what the odds are of reaching each city. To do this requires a throw of three dice. (One red and two white.) The first throw determines region by the formula: Red even or odd White total of spots The second throw then determines the city by the formula: Red even or odd White total of spots It is obvious that the red die has 50% odds of reaching either chart, the even chart or the odd chart. From there it becomes less obvious, so I am appealing to those other Mathematicians out there whose schooling is much more recent then mine. I say that you look at the ways you can get the combinations and the other person is arguing for using the permutations. The problem is further complicated by the fact that some cities have more then one possible way of getting picked. I.e. odd 7, even 3, even 10. The point being: does it make any difference to throw an 11 whether one die is a 5 and the other is a 6 or the reverse? Are the odds of throwing an 11 the same as a 12 or l/2? Are the odds of throwing an 10 l/2 of a 12 or l/3? I am cross posting this to the interested group as well as to the "expert" group. Thanks, --Bill--