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Path: utzoo!utcsri!ubc-vision!ubc-cs!andrews
From: andrews@ubc-cs.UUCP (Jamie Andrews)
Newsgroups: net.women
Subject: Re: More on rape statistics
Message-ID: <122@ubc-cs.UUCP>
Date: Tue, 10-Dec-85 14:20:40 EST
Article-I.D.: ubc-cs.122
Posted: Tue Dec 10 14:20:40 1985
Date-Received: Tue, 10-Dec-85 19:46:19 EST
References: <128@brl-tgr.ARPA> <764@rtech.UUCP> <705@ccice2.UUCP>
Reply-To: andrews@ubc-cs.UUCP (Jamie Andrews)
Distribution: net
Organization: UBC Department of Computer Science, Vancouver, B.C., Canada
Lines: 16
Summary: 

In article <705@ccice2.UUCP> pwk@ccice2.UUCP (THE PALE AVENGER) writes:
>>> Reporter's voice-over: "The actual statistic is one in six hundred."
>In an average day?  No, that would give the chances of being raped in a year
>as 365/600 = 60% !  If however we assume that the chance of a women being
>raped in a year is 1 in 600 and that the average women lives 75 years
>we get 75 * (1/600) = .125 chance of being raped in a lifetime which is
>1 in 8.

     Both of these calculations are wrong.  Please remember your college
stats courses before making such statements.
     For instance, if the chance per day is 1 in 600, the chance per year
is (1 - ((599/600) ^ 365)).  

--Jamie.
...!ihnp4!alberta!ubc-vision!ubc-cs!andrews
"It's only a model"