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From: wbs@cybvax0.UUCP (William B. Solomon)
Newsgroups: net.sport.football
Subject: Super Bowl
Message-ID: <893@cybvax0.UUCP>
Date: Mon, 20-Jan-86 10:50:39 EST
Article-I.D.: cybvax0.893
Posted: Mon Jan 20 10:50:39 1986
Date-Received: Thu, 23-Jan-86 08:53:04 EST
Distribution: net
Organization: Cybermation, Inc., Cambridge, MA
Lines: 35


To all you out there predicting a Chicago blowout:
	You Know Nothing about the Patriots!

Normally the pointspread for this game would be 4-6 points, but
it is not the oddsmakers responsibility to predict the outcome.
The oddsmakers responsibility is to predict the publics perception
of the game, and if this group is a good representation of that, they're
doing allright.  The oddsmaker puts up a number that will hopefully
divide the money of the public in half.
I think the the over-exposure of the bears (commercials, music videos,
interviews, etc)  has contributed to the increase in the line.

The key to New England is balance.  The Patriots have the ability
to do all things well.  Yet, their only national exposure has come
recently and all that the public sees is run, run, run and turnovers.
Hence, the public thinks that this is the Patriots, and that this
plays right into the Bears hands.

The pats have had little need to pass recently, especially against
Miami.  At LA against the Raiders it was essential for the Patriots
to establish and after being down 17-7 re-establish the run.  This is
what they did,  They did not want to be put in obvious passing situations.

What needs to be understood is that they stayed out of circumstances
which would have tested the teams balance. Thus the public concludes
that they can't pass.  The public is dead wrong.  This game against
the bears will provide such a test.  Raymond Berry Does what is
necessary to win games.  You can expect the Patriots to show balance
and have enough success to keep the game close, and possibly win outright.


William Solomon
Brighton, Ma.