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From: root@ucsfcca.UUCP (Computer Center)
Newsgroups: net.ai
Subject: Re: Plan 5 for Inner Space - A Sense of Mind.
Message-ID: <511@ucsfcca.UUCP>
Date: Wed, 7-May-86 23:37:48 EDT
Article-I.D.: ucsfcca.511
Posted: Wed May  7 23:37:48 1986
Date-Received: Sun, 11-May-86 04:24:15 EDT
References: <281@euclid.warwick.UUCP>
Distribution: net
Organization: UCSF Computer Center
Lines: 27

> The following project has been proposed. Design and implement an
> Intelligent System with the following characteristics ...

Response:
       Status: Unit is in current production on a decentralized basis

       Schedule: Stage I - unit production - 9 months
             Stage II - standard programming - 18 years
             Stage III - advanced programming - 4 to 10 years
             Stage IV - productive life - average roughly 40 years

       Cost: Stages I and II variable, estimated $100K
             Stage III variable, estimated $50K - $200K

       Return: Estimated 40 years @ $25K / year = $1000K
               (Neglecting energy and maintenance costs)

       Evaluation: Compare to $100K invested at 9.05% tax free
             interest commonly available (doubles each 8 years)
             to reach $3200K after 40 years

       Conclusion: Units have a high risk factor and a substantially
             lower return than lower risk investments.

       Recommendation: Production should be discontinued.

Thos Sumner      (...ucbvax!ucsfcgl!ucsfcca.UCSF!thos)