Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP
Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!cbatt!ihnp4!qantel!hplabs!sdcrdcf!psivax!friesen
From: friesen@psivax.UUCP (Stanley Friesen)
Newsgroups: net.sci
Subject: Re: Reference Sought: Global Warming, Coastal Flooding
Message-ID: <1427@psivax.UUCP>
Date: Wed, 10-Sep-86 14:42:48 EDT
Article-I.D.: psivax.1427
Posted: Wed Sep 10 14:42:48 1986
Date-Received: Sat, 13-Sep-86 05:31:27 EDT
References: <70@mit-prep.ARPA> <2785@islenet.UUCP>
Reply-To: friesen@psivax.UUCP (Stanley Friesen)
Organization: Pacesetter Systems Inc., Sylmar, CA
Lines: 21

In article <2785@islenet.UUCP> bob@islenet.UUCP (Bob Cunningham) writes:
>A more reasonable explanation is that the predictions might be wrong.
>My own:  global cooling has been occuring since the 1930's, and will
>continue until next century...and only then will we see the results of
>accumulated "greenhouse effect" warming.

	The problem with many of these predictions is that climate is
a very complex phenomenon. There are *natural* climatic cycles, the
shorter of which have a duration on the order of centuries. Until we
have a precise model of the *causes* of the natural cycles we have no
way of telling whether a given trend is natural or man-made. Thus,
even if the climate does begin to warm in the next century it may well
just be the natural up side of the current cooling trend! Though by
that time we will hopefully have the precise model necessary to
tell the difference.
---

				Sarima (Stanley Friesen)

UUCP: {ttidca|ihnp4|sdcrdcf|quad1|nrcvax|bellcore|logico}!psivax!friesen
ARPA: ??