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From: rb@cci632.UUCP (Rex Ballard)
Newsgroups: soc.singles
Subject: Re: New Marriage Statistics
Message-ID: <488@cci632.UUCP>
Date: Thu, 9-Oct-86 12:28:27 EDT
Article-I.D.: cci632.488
Posted: Thu Oct  9 12:28:27 1986
Date-Received: Sat, 11-Oct-86 04:15:29 EDT
References: <119100001@inmet>
Reply-To: rb@ccird2.UUCP (Rex Ballard)
Organization: CCI, Rochester Development, Rochester, NY
Lines: 39
Summary: Apples and Oranges?

In article <119100001@inmet> mazur@inmet.UUCP writes:
>The following excerpts are from today's (9/30) Boston Globe.  The column
>was written by Ellen Goodman.
>"By 30 years of age, the study projected, a never-married woman had only
>a 20% chance of marrying.  At 35, she had a 5% chance....
>
>     "Of college-educated, 30-year-old, never-married women, 66% will
       ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
>      eventually marry.
>     "Of college-educated, 35-year-olds, 41% will marry.
>     "Of college-educated, 40-year-olds, 23% will marry.
>     "Of college-educated, 45-year-olds, 11% will marry.
>
>"Is this just a case of dueling statistics?  It's more like a case of dueling
>mathematical models.

It also looks like someone is comparing apples and oranges.  College educated
women have access to a higher quality of men, have interests that get them
involved with other men, and in general "circulate" more.

Many less educated women go into fields where they are working with other
women.

It would be interesting to see what the figures are for women in general.
I would guess that women in general still have a better chance than
the Harvard-Yale study shows, but lower than the Moore study shows.

My guess is also that co-habitation rather than marriage is more common
among older women due to the low priority of raising children.
Not being married does have certain advantages for some people.
People recieving Social Security actually pay a penalty for being
married.

I think it was "People" that showed several single famous women, and
said their chances of marriage were slim, yet each of those women were
involved in some sort of marriage-like relationship.  Many were involved
with younger men.

Rex B.