Xref: utzoo comp.misc:1764 misc.headlines:2283 misc.jobs.misc:897 sci.electronics:1969 talk.rumors:1015
Path: utzoo!utgpu!water!watmath!looking!brad
From: brad@looking.UUCP (Brad Templeton)
Newsgroups: comp.misc,misc.headlines,misc.jobs.misc,sci.electronics,talk.rumors
Subject: Re: Massive computer industry failures and layoff's coming soon!!!!
Keywords: markets layoffs futures
Message-ID: <1355@looking.UUCP>
Date: 30 Jan 88 05:01:08 GMT
References: <1105@polyslo.UUCP>
Reply-To: brad@looking.UUCP (Brad Templeton)
Organization: Looking Glass Software Ltd.
Lines: 27

In article <1105@polyslo.UUCP> jbass@polyslo.UUCP (John L Bass) writes:
>For the last 6 months I have been talking to people in the industry tring
>to find an area to develop a new product. To my surprise it seems that
>another 1982/1983 style PC market adjustment is about to happen. I.E. the
>rapid market growth can not be supported by the total market size.
>I use PC to mean Personal Computers of all types -- Apple, IBM, and clones.
>... A long summary, based on the idea that everybody has a computer now who
>... needs one, so they'll stop buying
>So you still think that this will not happen? ... consider that the VCR market
>just saturated this last fall following record volumes and is headed down
>rapidly ... just as the cassette player and walkman markets did a few years
>ago.

Yes, just as everybody has a car, and Ford, Toyota and Mercedes are all dying.
Yes, just as everybody has a TV, and Sony and Toshiba are failing.
Yes, just as everybody has a stereo, and the nobody opens up new stereo stores
anymore.

Fact is, computers go out of date far faster than cars, TVs, or stereos.
The 386 machines today outpower the first PCs 15 to 1 for the same money.
The software sector will continue to grow and thrive.

For these and many other reasons, the bottom is not about to fall out.
The market for PC clones may saturate soon, but this will only cause a
change in direction, I suspect.
-- 
Brad Templeton, Looking Glass Software Ltd. - Waterloo, Ontario 519/884-7473