Xref: utzoo comp.misc:2072 misc.headlines:2479 misc.jobs.misc:1465 talk.rumors:1156
Path: utzoo!dciem!nrcaer!xios!greg
From: greg@xios.XIOS.UUCP (Greg Franks)
Newsgroups: comp.misc,misc.headlines,misc.jobs.misc,talk.rumors
Subject: Re: Doom and Gloom, as they say, revisited (computer market fai
Message-ID: <491@xios.XIOS.UUCP>
Date: 8 Mar 88 18:05:51 GMT
Article-I.D.: xios.491
Posted: Tue Mar  8 13:05:51 1988
References: <1177@polyslo.UUCP> <3052@cup.portal.com>
Reply-To: greg@sdn.UUCP (Greg Franks)
Organization: XIOS Systems Corporation, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Lines: 30

In article <3052@cup.portal.com> Jinfu@cup.portal.com writes:
>Since you [Mr. Bass] are so confident on your computer industry crash, why
>don't you do the same with say, TV set, dishwasher, refrigerator,
>and other home appliances?
>
>
>Jinfu Chen
>jinfu@cup.portal.com


The market for TV's, dishwashers, etc is already saturated.  A more
applicable comparison is to VCR's.  Five years ago (whenever) there were
pratically no consumer VCR's.  Today roughly 50% of all households have
them (ref: some consumer article in our local news rag a few months
ago).  The market for VCR's is flattening out.  Manufacturers have
adapted by cutting the price in hopes of stimulating demand (how much
has a VCR gone up in price in comparison to a Toyota?), or by giving up
completely (i.e.  Sony dropping Beta as a consumer tape deck).  Sound
familiar?

There will always be *some* demand in a static market.  It is left as an
exercise for the marketing people to figure what that demand will be. 

(The one with the crystal ball is the one who will make a fortune!)

-- 
Greg Franks                   XIOS Systems Corporation, 1600 Carling Avenue,
utzoo!dciem!nrcaer!xios!greg  Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1Z 8R8. (613) 725-5411.
       "Those who stand in the middle of the road get
               hit by trucks coming from both directions." Evelyn C. Leeper.