Xref: utzoo comp.misc:2073 misc.headlines:2480 misc.jobs.misc:1466 talk.rumors:1157
Path: utzoo!dciem!nrcaer!xios!greg
From: greg@xios.XIOS.UUCP (Greg Franks)
Newsgroups: comp.misc,misc.headlines,misc.jobs.misc,talk.rumors
Subject: Re: Doom and Gloom, Reply to Kurt Guntheroth
Message-ID: <492@xios.XIOS.UUCP>
Date: 8 Mar 88 18:34:29 GMT
Article-I.D.: xios.492
Posted: Tue Mar  8 13:34:29 1988
References: <1177@polyslo.UUCP> <2843@fluke.COM> <1223@polyslo.UUCP> <3244@cup.portal.com>
Reply-To: greg@sdn.UUCP (Greg Franks)
Distribution: na
Organization: XIOS Systems Corporation, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Lines: 25

In article <3244@cup.portal.com> roger_warren_tang@cup.portal.com writes: 
[and a host of others too...]
> No flames, but where are you getting your figures? Specifically, the
>figur of 60 million in the work force with access to computers? The
>civilian work force is, I believe, well over 100 million and inching
>toward 110 million.  This does not include military or younger students;
>both of these groups may relrfect substantial need for computers, both
>at home and at school/militat [.....]

We can all argue ad-nausium about the figure 20 million.  Of the 110
million people, how many actually need or use computers.  I dare say the
guy/gal building automobiles, or pouring concrete or whatever isn't. 
And so what if the number 20 million is wrong.  If the market saturates
at 50 million, the crash comes later (and will likely be more
spectacular because there will be more players to get hurt!).  And
perhaps the crash will turn out to be a bump.  After all, who really
knows what innovations will occur which will (again) change demand.

Isn't market forecasting fun?

-- 
Greg Franks                   XIOS Systems Corporation, 1600 Carling Avenue,
utzoo!dciem!nrcaer!xios!greg  Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1Z 8R8. (613) 725-5411.
       "Those who stand in the middle of the road get
               hit by trucks coming from both directions." Evelyn C. Leeper.