Xref: utzoo comp.society.futures:466 comp.ai:1564 Path: utzoo!mnetor!uunet!mcvax!ukc!strath-cs!glasgow!gilbert From: gilbert@cs.glasgow.ac.uk (Gilbert Cockton) Newsgroups: comp.society.futures,comp.ai Subject: Re: The future of AI [was Re: Time Magazine -- Computers of the Future] Message-ID: <978@crete.cs.glasgow.ac.uk> Date: 11 Apr 88 13:17:40 GMT References: <8803270154.AA08607@bu-cs.bu.edu> <962@daisy.UUCP> <5789@swan.ulowell.edu> Reply-To: gilbert@crete.UUCP (Gilbert\ Cockton) Organization: Comp Sci, Glasgow Univ, Scotland Lines: 17 In article <5789@swan.ulowell.edu> sbrunnoc@eagle.UUCP (Sean Brunnock) writes: > Bear with me while I put this into a sociological perspective. ..... > The information age will revolutionize agriculture and industry just as >industry revolutionized agriculture one hundred years ago Sociologists study the present, not the future. I presume the "Megatrends" books cited is Toffler style futurology, and this sort of railway journey light reading has no connection with rigorous sociology/contemporary anthrolopology. The only convincing statements about the future which competent sociologists generally make are related to the likely effects of social policy. Such statements are firmly rooted in a defendible analysis of the present. This ignorance of the proper practices of historians, anthropologists, sociologists etc. reinforces my belief that as long as AI research is conducted in philistine technical vacuums, the whole research area will just chase one dead end after another.