Newsgroups: sci.space.shuttle Path: utzoo!henry From: henry@utzoo.uucp (Henry Spencer) Subject: Re: NASA now says odds are 1 in 78 Message-ID: <1989Apr14.211921.4403@utzoo.uucp> Organization: U of Toronto Zoology References: <773@m3.mfci.UUCP> Date: Fri, 14 Apr 89 21:19:21 GMT In article <773@m3.mfci.UUCP> colwell@mfci.UUCP (Robert Colwell) writes: >Front page news in NY Times last weekend: NASA now estimates odds of losing >another shuttle are 1 in 78 per launch... >... The article says these new odds are causing >major head-holding within NASA, because they change the predicted likelihood >of another lost shuttle in this century from "not gonna happen" to highly >likely, maybe even two more lost. Sigh, some people (in NASA) simply don't listen when told. Quite apart from warnings from individual observers like Feynman, the NRC report on attainable shuttle launch frequencies was most explicit in saying that further losses are inevitable and must be prepared for (specifically, by maintaining low-rate orbiter production). -- Welcome to Mars! Your | Henry Spencer at U of Toronto Zoology passport and visa, comrade? | uunet!attcan!utzoo!henry henry@zoo.toronto.edu