Path: utzoo!utgpu!jarvis.csri.toronto.edu!mailrus!ames!amdcad!weitek!sci!daver
From: daver@sci.UUCP (Dave Rickel)
Newsgroups: sci.space.shuttle
Subject: Re: planned shuttle launches/shuttle launch viewing info
Summary: hit rates?
Message-ID: <46257@sci.UUCP>
Date: 9 May 89 09:39:33 GMT
References: <1206@psuhcx.psu.edu>
Organization: Silicon Compilers Systems Corp. San Jose, Ca
Lines: 17


Hmm, that's an interesting question--how accurate has NASA been at predicting
when a shuttle would take off?  If on tuesday NASA says that a shuttle will
be launched wednesday, how likely is it that it will actually be launched
wednesday?  If in January NASA says that it will launch a shuttle in March,
how likely is it that it will actually be launched in March?  If in 1989 NASA
says it will launch 8 flights in 1990, how likely is it that all 8 of those
flights will be launched in 1990?  How likely is it that all 8 would be
launched at all?

Just guessing, but i'd say to take any predicted launch date that's more than
three months away with several grains of salt.  At least, have a back-up
plan if the launch gets delayed.


david rickel
decwrl!sci!daver