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From: josh@klaatu.rutgers.edu (J Storrs Hall)
Newsgroups: comp.arch
Subject: Sanity Check, please
Message-ID: <Jan.8.22.57.41.1990.234@klaatu.rutgers.edu>
Date: 9 Jan 90 03:57:45 GMT
Organization: Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, N.J.
Lines: 18

I'd like people's reactions to these predictions on microprocessor
technology by the turn of the century.  They are intended to 
indicate something on the order of "state of the art but commercially
available", use the "1990" column to guess what level I'm getting at.
("pins" is high but intended to indicate more state of the art;
I really just guessed at memory speeds ca. 1980.)

what            1980    1990    extrapolation   2000
processor
pins		64	256	x4		1k
clock		8MHz	32MHz	x4		128MHz
"Devices"	50k	1M	x20		20M
mips		1	12	x12		144
memory(dram)
bits/chip	16k	1M	x64		64M
speed		240ns	80ns	/4		20ns

--JoSH