Path: utzoo!attcan!uunet!zds-ux!gerry
From: gerry@zds-ux.UUCP (Gerry Gleason)
Newsgroups: comp.arch
Subject: Re: Moore's Law
Message-ID: <161@zds-ux.UUCP>
Date: 7 Feb 90 15:20:12 GMT
References: <1461@east.East.Sun.COM> <51751@bu.edu.bu.edu> <1990Feb7.001316.28775@utzoo.uucp>
Reply-To: gerry@zds-ux.UUCP (Gerry Gleason)
Organization: Zenith Data Systems
Lines: 13

In article <1990Feb7.001316.28775@utzoo.uucp> henry@utzoo.uucp (Henry Spencer) writes:
>There is actually a still more impressive observation, somewhat related:
>the number of transistors on Earth has been doubling every 10 months for
>the last 30 years.  The slowdown in chip-density growth has *not* slowed
>this growth down, last I heard.

Did you come up with this "rule" yourself, or get it from someone else?
A quick calculation shows that 30yrs/10mo is about 36 doublings or about
64 billion times the number in 1960.  That might work out to be reasonable,
but what are the endpoint values, so I can do a quick check?  And of course,
who is estimating these values and what is the uncertainty?

Gerry Gleason